Pennarossa vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
7 - 0
FAE
34%
24%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 1
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |