Pennarossa vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |