Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
2%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAI
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 0
PEN
84%
13%
3%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
SMA
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
9%
21%
70%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |