Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COS
0 - 4
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 0
DOM
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |