Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 3
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 3
FAE
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
FAE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |