Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FAE
0 - 1
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FAE
3 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COS
2 - 2
FAE
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |