Pennarossa vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 3
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |