Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
12º
11º
67
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TPE
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 2
COS
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SGI
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
COS
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |