Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 5
SGI
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 2
COS
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 3
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |