Pennarossa vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 0
PEN
84%
13%
3%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 5
TPE
5%
14%
81%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COS
9 - 0
CAI
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | -1 |