Pennarossa vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
0 - 2
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 3
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 4
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DOM
4 - 1
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |