Pennarossa vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FOL
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
TPE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
PEN
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 5
JUV
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 1
CAI
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 1
DOM
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |