Penn State vs Wisconsin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
PSN
1 - 0
OSE
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
PSN
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
PSN
4 - 2
RSK
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
0 - 1
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 2
PSN
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wisconsin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
1 - 0
OSE
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 4
IDH
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MLT
1 - 0
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 1
RSK
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |