Penn State vs Rutgers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
0 - 1
MSS
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 2
PSN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
3 - 2
MLT
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PSN
2 - 3
PFR
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rutgers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
0 - 1
MGW
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
2 - 0
MLT
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 1
RSK
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 2
PSN
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 2
RSK
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |