Penn State vs Michigan State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
RSK
1 - 2
PSN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
PSN
3 - 2
MLT
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PSN
2 - 3
PFR
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
MGW
1 - 0
MSS
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 2
RSK
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |