Peninsula Power vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
6º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
6 - 0
EAS
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
WPH
6%
12%
82%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RED
3 - 0
BRR
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
RED
2 - 2
BRI
35%
22%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RED
0 - 1
SUN
36%
21%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
GOL
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
RED
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |