Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
5 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 3
PEN
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 1
RED
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
6 - 0
EAS
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
QUE
33%
21%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
MOR
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
QUE
7%
12%
81%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
QUE
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 1
QUE
18%
20%
61%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |