Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
OLY
6 - 1
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
BRI
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
GOL
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
GCK
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
BRR
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUN
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
9 - 0
CAP
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BRR
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |