Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
PEN
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RED
1 - 3
PEN
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 1
LOG
82%
11%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 3
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAG
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 4
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
GOL
45%
21%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
4 - 5
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |