Peninsula Power vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
84.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 6
PEN
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 0
ROC
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
ALB
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
CAP
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
MCI
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
OAK
0 - 10
MCI
2%
5%
93%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 2
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PER
5 - 4
MCI
51%
21%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
MCI
1 - 0
ADE
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |