Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
3º
23
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
GCK
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WYN
2 - 1
PEN
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 5 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
QUE
40%
22%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
5 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 3
PEN
36%
24%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 0
BRI
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 2
GCK
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 4
GOL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 3
PEN
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 1
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |