Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
6º
48
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 3
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLY
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
GOL
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BRR
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 1
BRR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RED
0 - 3
GCK
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 2
MOR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |