Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
6º
9
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
WPH
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
OLY
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
QUE
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 3
BRR
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 4
BRI
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
SUN
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
EAS
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 4
MOR
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |