Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 3
PEN
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 0
PEN
24%
23%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 0
PEN
25%
21%
54%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAM
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
QUE
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
EAS
3 - 2
CAP
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 5
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
EAS
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
5 - 2
EAS
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
CAP
67%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |