Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
GOL
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
GCK
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLY
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 4
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 2
BRI
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RED
2 - 1
EAS
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 1
BRI
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRR
1 - 1
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 1
EAS
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 2
OLY
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |