Penicuik Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAM
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HBH
2 - 0
PEN
18%
21%
62%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 5
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
PEN
8%
13%
79%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
STE
3 - 2
WAT
16%
20%
63%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
STE
3 - 2
COV
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
STI
1 - 1
STE
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
BRE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
STE
0 - 3
CWB
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |