Peniche vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.3%
78.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
19.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ANA
3 - 0
PEN
82%
14%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
OLI
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 0
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALV
25%
24%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
PEN
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 0
ADN
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
UDL
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
OLE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIN
0 - 1
UDL
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |