Peniche vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 5
TOR
19%
27%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
6 - 0
OLE
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |