Peniche vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 2
PEN
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
UNM
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 3
SER
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |