Peniche vs Santa Iria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
3 - 2
PEN
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FAT
0 - 1
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
LOU
17%
23%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
PEN
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
2 - 1
FAT
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
2 - 1
CAL
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +6 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 0
IRI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
1 - 0
TOR
12%
18%
71%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +4 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 1
IRI
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |