Peniche vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
6º
7º
10
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 52 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 38 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 31 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
PAÇ
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 1
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
PER
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
SER
30%
28%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
OEL
7%
13%
80%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OEL
3 - 0
BEN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
OEL
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OEL
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
OEL
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |