Peniche vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
5 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |