Peniche vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+176%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GDF
3 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OLE
0 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
PRA
24%
25%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
PRA
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
IDA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |