Peniche vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
PEN
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
13%
23%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
0 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
OLE
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |