Peniche vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
9º
32
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UFT
2 - 4
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCA
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
USA
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GDF
2 - 1
BEN
27%
27%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOU
3 - 1
GDF
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GDF
2 - 0
VIT
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COI
2 - 0
GDF
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GDF
0 - 2
LUS
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |