Peniche vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 5
PEN
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAT
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
5 - 0
GAV
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EPO
2 - 1
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
FRO
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CRA
4 - 1
TER
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |