Peniche vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 1
PEN
85%
12%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ANA
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
IRI
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
ANA
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |