Peniche vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAV
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |