Peñas Oscenses vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñas Oscenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
PEN
19%
20%
62%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
BIE
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
PEN
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PFR
2 - 0
BIN
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
PFR
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PFR
0 - 0
FRA
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ASJ
1 - 1
PFR
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PFR
1 - 2
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |