Peñas Oscenses vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñas Oscenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
6 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 0
PEN
73%
17%
10%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
CDM
57%
22%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
2 - 1
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
2 - 0
SAB
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CFJ
0 - 2
UDM
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDM
3 - 2
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |