Peñarol vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 2
TAC
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 1
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
AME
0 - 3
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |