Peñarol vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MWA
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
IND
1 - 1
PEÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
HUR
0 - 3
PEÑ
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
MWA
0 - 2
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
1 - 0
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
3 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |