Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Peñarol vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
RMA
5 - 1
PEÑ
94%
4%
2%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1960 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
OLI
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SLO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |