Peñarol vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MWA
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
IND
1 - 1
PEÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
HUR
0 - 3
PEÑ
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |