Peñarol vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 0
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
DAN
4 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 0
DAN
48%
23%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |