Peñarol vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
23%
56%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DAN
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 3
PEÑ
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
REN
3 - 2
PEÑ
12%
19%
68%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LFC
0 - 0
ETS
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 2
ETS
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ETS
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |