Peñarol vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 4
PEÑ
20%
23%
56%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CER
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
17%
22%
62%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 2
ETS
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 1
DEF
22%
27%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
ETS
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 0
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 2
ETS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |