Peñarol vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 2
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 2
PEÑ
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
PEÑ
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SAN
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 2
FEN
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
FEN
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ETS
4 - 1
CSM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
ETS
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |