Peñarol vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
78%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
COB
4 - 2
PEÑ
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
COB
80%
13%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
1 - 3
SAO
2%
24%
73%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
SAO
4 - 0
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |