Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 9-8
Peñarol vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1965 |
SAN
5 - 4
PEÑ
65%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GAL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1965 |
SAN
5 - 4
PEÑ
65%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCH
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1965 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |